RESEARCH & INSIGHTS

Market analysis, trade ideas, and investment research from the Vector Ridge team.

Showing 33 articles

Gold $5,000, Silver $110: The Parabolic Run and Why We're Taking Profits

The trade delivered returns most portfolios only dream about. But parabolic moves end abruptly. Time to take meaningful profits and rotate.

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Natural Gas Volatility Trap: Why This Market Will Crush the Unprepared

Henry Hub spiking and plunging 20-30% in days. 80-100% implied vol. This is the ultimate trader's casino — and it will crush the unprepared.

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Palladium's Sleeping Giant: Why This Metal Has the Most Upside Left

Trading 60% below its ATH while gold and silver ripped. The most undervalued metal has the most explosive upside left.

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Tax-Loss Harvesting December: Opportunities in Market Volatility

2025's wild ride left plenty of red ink. Harvest those losses, offset gains, and reposition into structural winners.

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2026 Trading Outlook: Multi-Market Strategy for the New Year

2026 isn't a reset — it's an extension of 2025's regime with higher stakes. Our multi-market strategy stays locked.

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Metals Dip Buying: Why Every Pullback Is a Gift

Gold dipped below $3,400, silver touched $42. These pullbacks aren't signals to sell — they're the best buying opportunities in months.

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Bitcoin's Regulatory Reckoning: Why 2026 Could Bring Harsh Reality

The regulatory honeymoon is ending. 2026 will bring the compliance costs and reporting burdens the market has been ignoring.

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Year-End Forex Positioning: How Institutions Trade November-December

Thin liquidity, mechanical flows, and the playbook that works when retail gets whipsawed and pros thrive.

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USD/JPY Breakout: New Japanese Leadership and the Yen's Next Leg Lower

New PM signals massive fiscal stimulus. BOJ stays ultra-accommodative far longer than expected. Yen bears have been handed the perfect catalyst.

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Gold's Q4 Rally: Central Banks, Geopolitics, and $3,500 Target

Gold ripped past $3,200 and shows no signs of slowing. Central bank buying, geopolitical tensions, and currency debasement driving a historic move.

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Crude Oil's Range: OPEC Policy vs Demand Concerns

WTI stuck between $68 and $82. Every breakout attempt gets sold, every breakdown gets bought. Classic range-bound frustration.

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S&P 500 September Weakness: Myth or Trading Opportunity?

Historically the worst month for stocks. The S&P is already down 3% this month. Is this "September effect" a reliable curse, or opportunity?

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Why We're Short MicroStrategy (MSTR)

MSTR is the ultimate greater-fool trade: a declining software company turned debt-fueled Bitcoin vehicle, priced at a fantasy premium.

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Q3 Forex Outlook: Positioning for Year-End Currency Moves

DXY closed Q3 pushing past 112 — its highest level in over two decades. Dollar exceptionalism is the trade of 2025.

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The Inflation Inferno: Going All-In on Precious and Industrial Metals

Official CPI is fiction while real-world inflation rages. We're rotating aggressively into gold, silver, platinum, palladium, and uranium.

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Bitcoin's Diminishing Returns: Why Each Halving Cycle Produces Less

Each successive halving cycle delivers progressively smaller percentage gains. This isn't opinion — it's mathematical reality.

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Summer Doldrums or Opportunity? Trading Low Volatility Markets

Volumes drying up, volatility scraping lows, price action stuck in quicksand. What feels boring can be prime hunting ground.

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Mid-Year Market Review: Winners, Losers, and H2 Setup

What a ride. The first six months delivered exactly what Trump 2.0 promised: volatility, rotation, and a decisive shift toward U.S.-centric assets.

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Ethereum's Scaling Revolution: Layer 2 Impact on ETH Price Action

Layer 2 ecosystem expanding, fees staying low, supply dynamics shifting. The fundamental case is strongest in years — but we're still not buying.

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The Dollar Dilemma: Why DXY Strength Is Creating Forex Opportunities

The U.S. dollar just won't quit. DXY has spent most of 2025 grinding higher, creating the clearest directional FX opportunities we've seen in years.

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Sticky Inflation Is Back: Tariffs Bite and Markets Reposition

The April CPI print landed like a punch nobody wanted to take. Headline jumped to 3.8% — the tariff reality is finally showing up in the data.

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Bitcoin's Post-Halving Consolidation: What History Tells Us

One year after the fourth halving, price is doing exactly what it's done in prior cycles: chopping sideways in a wide range. The historical playbook is intact.

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Liberation Day Delivers: Trump's Tariff Blitz Hits Markets Hard

April 2 lived up to the hype — in the most disruptive way possible. S&P futures down 3% overnight as sweeping tariffs went live.

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Gold Hits All-Time Highs: Central Bank Buying and Geopolitical Hedging

The spot price blew decisively past $2,800 and kept marching higher. Central bank accumulation and de-dollarization are driving a structural bid.

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Tariff Tensions Heat Up: Trump's Early Trade Moves Shake Markets

Only two months into the new administration and the trade agenda is front and center. 25% on Canada/Mexico, 10-20% on China.

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DeepSeek Disruption: How a Chinese AI Model Shook Tech Stocks

NVIDIA plunged 17%, vaporizing $600 billion in market cap — the biggest one-day wipeout ever. Was this the crack in the foundation?

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Inauguration Day Trade: Trump 2.0 and the Deregulation Bet

Markets wasted no time pricing in deregulation on steroids. Small caps, financials, energy, and especially crypto leading the charge.

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The Hawkish Cut: Why Fed's Dot Plot Rattled Year-End Markets

The Fed gave markets exactly what they expected on the cut—but then dropped a dot plot that felt like a cold splash of water.

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Trump Wins: The Immediate Market Response Across All Asset Classes

Risk assets went ballistic overnight, delivering one of the most explosive post-election moves in decades.

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Pre-Election Positioning: How Markets Priced Trump vs Harris

Assets are increasingly positioning for a Trump victory. Polymarket odds have tilted decisively, the dollar is flexing, and crypto is trading like a Trump White House is already in the cards.

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The Yen Carry Trade Unwind: Anatomy of a Flash Crash

The Nikkei plunged 12.4%—its worst single-day drop ever—while the VIX rocketed to 65. What looked like coordinated global meltdown was really a violent deleveraging event.

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The Great Tech Rotation: Why Mega Caps Stumbled and What It Means

The Magnificent Seven finally hit a speed bump. Small caps roared, value stocks flexed, and "rotation" became the word on every trader's lips.

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Why NVIDIA at $140 Is Not the Peak: AI Infrastructure Trade Analysis

Calling a top right now is like calling the end of the internet buildout in 1998. We're still in the very early innings of the largest infrastructure cycle in history.

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