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Investor Desk guide/Macro

Inflation, rates, and growth

Macro

See the next major release, the consensus, and the portfolio question it creates.

Macro keeps scheduled inflation, labor, growth, and policy events in one calendar with verified expectations, scenario context, and dated conclusions after the release.

Open Macro See the product explained
Use it when
A scheduled inflation, labor, growth, or policy release can affect the portfolio.
Start with
The next key release
Leave with
Consensus, conditional scenarios, portfolio impact, and actual conclusion

Inside Macro

Turn the next release into a decision checklist.

Date and consensus are only the start. The preview links possible outcomes to rates, growth, inflation, and portfolio exposures.

Select a numbered point to trace the screen.
Macro shown in the Investor Desk interface
Current Macro interface. Select a point above or open the full screen. Displayed names and values can change as the product updates.
Current product screen Macro
Macro full product interface

Why Macro

Prepare for the release instead of reacting to it.

Macro turns inflation, rates, labor, growth, and policy events into dated scenarios tied to the portfolio.

01 · Verified schedule

Know the next event, time, consensus, and prior

The calendar keeps official timing and the latest available forecast together, without inventing a consensus where none exists.

02 · Conditional impact

Map weaker, in-line, and stronger outcomes

Rates, dollar, equity, sector, and portfolio implications are framed as scenarios before the release, not certainty.

03 · Dated conclusion

Replace the preview with the actual result

Reported releases preserve actual versus consensus, the market response, and the resulting portfolio conclusion.

Product manual

Complete macro-event manual

Know the release clock, the expectation, and the response channel.

Macro organizes inflation, labor, growth, and policy releases around verified schedules and consensus. It maps conditional outcomes before the event and replaces them with actual results and a dated conclusion afterward.

Product map

Know which view answers which question.

Move through the product in order. Each view has a distinct job and should not be used as a substitute for the next one.

01 / Schedule

Calendar

Which macro release occurs next and what is the verified consensus?

02 / Frame

Preview

What matters inside the release and which portfolio channel is exposed?

03 / Prepare

Scenario

What would softer, in-line, or stronger data imply conditionally?

04 / Context

Backdrop

Which regime, liquidity, curve, and forecast pressures surround the event?

05 / Conclude

Reported

What printed, how did markets respond, and what changed?

Screen anatomy

Read every field for its intended purpose.

The field, its meaning, and the decision it supports remain separate. This prevents a rank, forecast, range, or headline result from carrying more authority than it should.

Field What it means How to use it
01Event time

The official release date, time, and time zone.

Use the precise clock because event risk can concentrate into seconds.

02Consensus

The current verified public forecast for the release.

Treat it as the surprise baseline, not as Vector Ridge certainty.

03Prior

The previously reported reading before any displayed revision.

Check revisions because the comparison base can change.

04Likely impact

The market or portfolio channel most exposed to the result.

Use it to focus preparation across rates, dollar, equities, and sectors.

05Scenario

A conditional softer, in-line, or stronger outcome.

Use it to predefine checks; replace it with the actual result after release.

06Regime backdrop

Current growth, inflation, liquidity, curve, and recession context.

Interpret the same surprise differently when the surrounding regime differs.

07Actual

The published reading after the release.

Compare it with consensus and revisions before reading the market move.

08Conclusion

A dated summary of the surprise, reaction, and portfolio implication.

Use it as the event record after the preview is obsolete.

Interpretation states

Know what the screen is asking you to do next.

A product state should lead to a specific research action, including the decision to do nothing when no new evidence deserves attention.

01

No verified consensus

What it says
A release lacks a reliable public forecast.
Next action
Keep that uncertainty explicit and avoid manufacturing a precise scenario anchor.
02

Softer

What it says
The result lands below the selected forecast measure.
Next action
Read the event family and regime before assuming a risk-on or rates-down response.
03

In line

What it says
The result is near the expected range.
Next action
Look at revisions, internals, and positioning because the headline may add little information.
04

Stronger

What it says
The result lands above the selected forecast measure.
Next action
Test rates, dollar, equity, and sector response rather than applying a universal rule.
05

Reported

What it says
Actual and initial market response are available.
Next action
Replace preparation with the dated conclusion and monitor any reversal.

Repeatable workflow

Use the same disciplined sequence every time.

The routine keeps the product useful after the novelty disappears. It also leaves a clearer record of what was known, what changed, and why a decision followed.

  1. 01

    Review the calendar and confirm the event date, release time, consensus, and prior reading.

  2. 02

    Open the event preview and identify the components that matter beyond the headline.

  3. 03

    Select softer, in-line, and stronger scenarios to predefine conditional checks across rates, dollar, equities, and the book.

  4. 04

    Read the current regime, liquidity, curve, recession, and forecast backdrop.

  5. 05

    At release, compare actual with consensus and verify any revisions before interpreting price.

  6. 06

    Separate the economic surprise from the first market reaction; positioning can dominate the initial move.

  7. 07

    Use the reported conclusion as the new record and update portfolios only when the evidence warrants it.

Plain-English glossary

Use the product's terms consistently.

Headline
The top-line published measure, such as total CPI or payroll growth.
Core
A version excluding selected volatile components, commonly food and energy for inflation.
Consensus
The central public forecast immediately before release.
Revision
A change to a previously published reading.
Scenario
A conditional response map, not a point prediction.
Backdrop
The broader macro regime in which the release arrives.
Visual product guide

Eight real product captures

See the full release cycle from forecast to conclusion.

Macro combines the official calendar, verified consensus, conditional market scenarios, the current backdrop, and reported outcomes without presenting a scenario as a prediction.

01 / Prepare

Choose the release and verify the clock.

The calendar keeps event date, time, consensus, prior reading, and likely portfolio channel together. Opening a release creates a focused preview.

Macro calendar with upcoming releases and consensus Open full image
01
Upcoming releases

Prioritize inflation, labor, growth, and policy events using verified schedule and consensus context.

Macro event preview with forecast and portfolio focus Open full image
02
Release preview

Define what matters and which portfolio channels could react before the number arrives.

02 / Scenario map

Ask what changes under softer, in-line, and stronger outcomes.

Conditional scenarios map possible reactions in rates, the U.S. dollar, and equities. They organize preparation; they do not claim certainty.

Macro stronger-than-consensus scenario and asset response map Open full image
03
Conditional response

Use the selected scenario to predefine checks, then replace it with the actual result and live response.

Macro current backdrop with regimes liquidity curve and pressure points Open full image
04
Current backdrop

Read the event inside the broader regime, recession, liquidity, curve, and forecast context.

03 / Conclusion

Replace the preview with the reported outcome.

Reported releases preserve actual, consensus, revision context, conclusion, and market response so the event becomes a dated research record.

Macro reported release with actual consensus and conclusion Open full image
05
Reported release

Distinguish the economic surprise from the first market reaction and any later reversal.

04 / Mobile

The release workflow remains one clear vertical sequence.

Mobile starts with the calendar, opens one preview, then exposes the scenario map without a sideways table.

Macro calendar on mobile Open full image
06
Calendar

Choose the next relevant release.

Macro release preview on mobile Open full image
07
Preview

Read consensus and portfolio focus.

Macro scenario map on mobile Open full image
08
Scenario

Prepare conditional checks before the actual result.

01

How to use it

Prepare the scenario, then replace it with evidence.

Read the official schedule and consensus, map conditional outcomes to the portfolio, then return for the actual result and dated conclusion.

  1. 01

    Start with upcoming releases

    Review the next key event first, then filter the calendar when you only need major releases.

  2. 02

    Open the event preview

    Confirm date, time, public forecast, prior reading, market impact, and the portfolio exposures that deserve attention.

  3. 03

    Use scenarios as preparation

    Read weaker, in-line, and stronger outcomes as conditional context, not forecasts.

  4. 04

    Review the conclusion

    After the release, compare actual with consensus and read what changed for rates, growth, inflation, and the portfolio plan.

02

Macro on mobile

The next macro event stays decision-ready.

Mobile keeps the release schedule, consensus, likely impact, and post-release conclusion in one compact event workflow.

  • Start with upcoming releasesReview the next key event first, then filter the calendar when you only need major releases.
  • Open the event previewConfirm date, time, public forecast, prior reading, market impact, and the portfolio exposures that deserve attention.
  • Use scenarios as preparationRead weaker, in-line, and stronger outcomes as conditional context, not forecasts.
Macro shown in the mobile Investor Desk interface
Current mobile Macro screen.
03

Example workflow

Example: preparing for CPI

The calendar is built around the decision question, not a wall of economic data.

01

Confirm release time and consensus

02

Review prior and the components that matter

03

Map the scenarios to portfolio exposures

04

Return after release for the actual result and conclusion

04

Updates and boundaries

Scheduled before, evidence after

Upcoming events use the latest verified public forecast available. Reported releases add actual values, revisions, initial market response, and a conclusion once those facts can be confirmed.

Event calendar Updated as official schedules change
Consensus Updated when a verified public forecast is available
Actual and revisions Added after the official release
Conclusion Added after the result and initial response are verified

Ready to use Macro?

Open Macro.

Use Macro with its current data, controls, and saved account context.

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